Eye of Newt
Public Policy Polling has a poll that puts Newt first. Probably an outlier but possibly indicative that now it's Newt's turn to take a shot at being the anti-Romney. Herman Cain's Libya q&a was devastatingly bad, which isn't going to stall his downward spiral. Rick Perry, expected to be a super-candidate, turned out to be just embarrassing.
But Newt might make it as the last man standing against Mitt. Popularity equals money and Newt Gingrich certainly knows how to build a political organization given the funding. He knows how to run one, too. Iowa is 9 weeks away, New Hampshire is 10 weeks. Mitt is stuck at 24% and has been for two years. The 75% or so non-Romney GOP voters have got to go somewhere. Newt looks to peak at exactly the right time.
The Rs could do worse. Newt could talk for four hours about Libya just introducing the subject. He is not going to veer into the scary ignorance of a Bachmann or Palin that frightens everybody, nor the just plain ignorance of Perry and Cain that scares everybody but the Tea party. Newt is ideologically and intellectually capable of getting the nomination. Yes, he has flaws. They are old news compared to not beating Obama. And yes, he's on a book tour and not running a real political campaign. Well, why not? What chance did he have going in? Who would have ever predicted that everybody else would collapse? But now that he is positioned, he is the most experienced politician possible to take advantage of the situation and turn it into a real campaign.